Much has been made about recent musings of China (hardware) and India (software) teaming up to dominate the techinology world. I’m not sure what to think of this. Maybe this will be the USA’s 21st century version of “Sputnik”, the clarion call that awakens the imagination of youth everywhere to take interest in science, math, and technology, if we can just get them away from the game consoles and reality TV for a few minutes.
But I’m not so optimistic. We are successful and powerful. Success breeds obesity and SUVs (guilty on both counts). Too many American kids are not as interested in science as they used to be, not sure why. That was OK when we importing lots of Chinese, Indians, Eastern Europeans, etc. to enter our country to pursue graduate studies in science and work in our top research labs. But 9/11 and the liberalization of China and India’s economies have changed all of that.
With 9/11 our visa process for importing intellectuals has backed up, many applicants told they have to wait more than 1 year to get into the country, too long to wait because class starts in less than 1 year! Also, with the Chinese and Indian economies growing and expanding so rapidly, economic progress can be found at home, not only in America, so many are opting to stay at home and pursue their research in their homeland.
This has left the USA with a deficit in the numbers of gradutes entering science and technology studies. So who will employers hire if there aren’t enough local talent to fill their jobs? You got it, overseas, and it will become not just about saving labor costs, but it’s about tapping into a supply of available talent no longer found in the USA.
But who are we to blame but ourselves? We are just not as hungry for science as we used to be, so we shall reap what we (don’t) sow. And remember, India and China combined are 10x our population, so even if 10% of their population become as educated as we are and the remaining 90% are dirt-poor and impoverished, we’re still screwed.
I am not anti-globalization or anti-oursourcing, in fact I have worked with and hired programmers in India and Pakistan to work with me. But if we agree to compete globally we have to be ready to compete, and we are not acting or thinking like a player in an international game, into which 2+ billion new participants are slowly entering the playing field. I don’t see our national leaders really addressing this issue, it’s business as usual, worrying about fighting culture wars and entitlements, and spend-spend-spend ourselves into foreign-financed debt.
Nevertheless, I am optimistic once we wake up from our slumber we can rise to the challenge, sacrifices will have to be made, and we have, in the past, made the necessary sacrifices to get where we are now. I just hope we all have the hindsight to remember what it took to get where we are.